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全球制造业加快复苏,短期面临下行压力
—2020年10月份CFLP-GPMI分析

文章来源:英超竞猜网站-英超竞猜投注|官网

JUZHONGGUOWULIUYUCAIGOULIANHEHUIFABU,2020NIAN10YUEFENQUANQIUZHIZAOYEPMIWEI54.5%,JIAOSHANGYUESHANGSHENG1.6GEBAIFENDIAN,LIANXU4GEYUEBAOCHIZAI50%YISHANG。YAZHOU、OUZHOU、MEIZHOUHEFEIZHOUZHIZAOYEPMIJIAOSHANGYUEJUNYOUBUTONGCHENGDUSHANGSHENG,ZHISHUJUNBAOCHIZAI50%YISHANG。

ZHISHUBIANHUAXIANSHI,QUANQIUZHIZAOYEYANXUFUSUQUSHI,QIEFUSUSUDUJIAOSHANGYUEYOUSUOJIAKUAI。QUANQIUJINGJIFUSUDEQUDONGLILAIZIYUGEGUOQIANGJINGDECIJIZHENGCEHEDUIYIQINGDEZHUBUKONGZHI。DANOUMEIXINGUANFEIYANBINGLIZAI10YUEDICHUXIANLEKUAISUHUISHENGJIXIANG,OUZHOUZHUYAOGUOJIAJUNXUANBUYAOJIAQIANGFANGKONGLIDU,CAIQUXINYILUNDEFENGSUOCUOSHI。SUIRANXINDEFENGSUOCUOSHIDOULITUJINKENENGBIMIANJINGJIQUANMIANTINGBAI,DANQIDUIQUANQIUJINGJIFUSUDEDUANQIYINGXIANGBURONGHUSHI,QUANQIUJINGJIJIANGMIANLINXIAXINGYALI,XIAXINGCHENGDUQUJUEYUYIQINGDEBAOFACHENGDUHEGEGUODEFENGSUOCHENGDU。SHIJIEMAOYIZUZHI(WTO)RIQIANFABU《MAOYITONGJIYUZHANWANG》BAOGAOZHICHU,JINGUANQUANQIUMAOYIYICONGXINGUANFEIYANYIQINGYINFADESHENDUSHUAITUIZHONGCHUXIANFANDANJIXIANG,DANQUANQIUFUSUJINCHENGRENGYOUKENENGBEICHIXUDEYIQINGXIAOYINGSUOPOHUAI。

ZAIYIQINGFANGKONGCHANGTAIHUAXIA,SHIJIEGEGUOZAIJIXUBAOCHIJIAOQIANGJINGJICIJILIDUDETONGSHI, GENGYAOMIQIEJIAQIANGHEZUO,ZAIYOUXIAOZHANSHENGYIQINGDEJICHUSHANG,GONGTONGTUIJINSHIJIEJINGJIDELIANDONGFAZHAN,WEIHUSHIJIECHANYELIANHEGONGYINGLIANDEWENDING,CAINENGGENGHAOSHIXIANSHIJIEJINGJIDEWENDINGFUSU。

分区域来看,呈现如下特点:

亚洲制造业复苏趋势稳定,PMI继续上升

英超竞猜网站2020NIAN10YUEFEN,YAZHOUZHIZAOYEPMIJIAOSHANGYUESHANGSHENG0.5GEBAIFENDIANZHI51.4%,LIANXU6GEYUEHUANBISHANGSHENG,CHUANGNIANNEIXINGAO。CONGZHUYAOGUOJIAKAN,DABUFENGUOJIAZHIZAOYEPMIJIAOSHANGYUEYOUBUTONGCHENGDUHUISHENG。QIZHONG,YINDU、HANGUOHEXINJIAPOJINGJIHUIFUJIAOHAO,ZHIZAOYEPMIJUNZAI50%YISHANG,RIBENZHIZAOYEPMISUIZAI50%YIXIA,DANJIAOSHANGYUEYOUSUOHUISHENG。ZHONGGUOZHIZAOYEJIXUWENDINGFUSUTAISHI,ZHIZAOYEPMILIANXU4GEYUEYUNXINGZAI51%JIYISHANG,FENXIANGZHISHUBIANHUAXIANSHI,SHICHANGXUQIUZENGZHANGTAISHIJIAOWEIWENDING,QIYESHENGCHANHUODONGBAOCHIPINGWEN,JINCHUKOUJIXUGAISHAN,GAODUANZHIZAOYECHIXUKUAISUZENGZHANG。MIANDIANSHOUYIQINGYINGXIANGJIAODA,ZHIZAOYEPMIJIXUBAOCHIZAI30%ZUOYOUDEJIAODISHUIPING。

XIANGDUIYUQITAQUYU,YAZHOUYIQINGFANGKONGCUOSHIJIAOWEIDELI,FANGKONGXIAOGUOYEYOUSUOXIANXIAN,WEIYAZHOUJINGJICHIXUFUSUDIANDINGLEJICHU。GUOJIHUOBIJIJINZUZHIJINRIBIAOSHI,YATAIDIQUJINGJIYICHUXIANFUSUMENGYA,ZHONGGUODEYIYUQIANGYOULIDEYIQINGYINGDUICUOSHI,YOUWANGCHIXUFUSU,JIANGCHENGWEIZHICHENGYAZHOUJINGJIFUSUDEZHONGYAOLILIANG。IMFFABUDEYATAIDIQUJINGJIZHANWANGBAOGAOZHONGZHICHU,YUJI2020NIANYATAIDIQUJINGJIJIANGWEISUO2.2%,2021NIANYOUWANGZENGZHANG6.9%。

欧洲制造业保持复苏态势,短期或将承压

英超竞猜网站2020NIAN10YUEFEN,OUZHOUZHIZAOYEPMIJIAOSHANGYUESHANGSHENG0.6GEBAIFENDIANZHI53.4%,LIANXU4GEYUEWENDINGZAI51%YISHANG。CONGZHUYAOGUOJIAKAN,ZUOWEILINGTOUYANGDEDEGUOZHIZAOYEJIXUJIAKUAIFUSU,PMISHENGZHI58%YISHANGDEJIAOGAOSHUIPING,FAGUO、YINGGUOHEYIDALIZHIZAOYEPMIJIAOSHANGYUEJUNYOUBUTONGCHENGDUSHANGSHENG,YINGGUOZHIZAOYEPMISUIYOUHUIDIAO,DANRENGBAOCHIZAI53%YISHANGDEJIAOGAOSHUIPING。

英超竞猜网站ZONGHEZHISHUBIANHUA,10YUEFEN,OUZHOUZHIZAOYEYANXULEJIAOKUAIFUSUQUSHI,GEGUOGUOJIAJUNYOUBUTONGCHENGDUDEFUSU。DANZAIJINGJIFUSUDETONGSHI,YIQINGBINGWEIDEDAOYOUXIAOKONGZHI。10YUEFENDI,OUZHOUZHUYAOGUOJIAJUNYINGLAILEXINGUANFEIYANYIQINGDEDIERCIFANDAN,QIEFANDANSUDUJIAOKUAI。POYUYIQINGYALI,OUZHOUYIXIEGUOJIABUDEBUZAICICAIQUJIAOWEIYANLIDEFANGKONGCUOSHI,OUZHOUJINGJIJIANGZAIDUANQINEIMIANLINXIAXINGYALI。OUZHOUYIQINGDEFANDANSHUOMING,JINGJIFUSUYAOZAIYIQINGYOUXIAOKONGZHIJICHUSHANGCAINENGWENDING,ZHIYAOYIQINGFANFU,JINGJIFUSUJIANGMIANLINJUDADEBUQUEDINGXING。

非洲制造业复苏加快,PMI较上月上升

2020NIAN10YUEFEN,FEIZHOUZHIZAOYEPMIWEI54.5%,JIAOSHANGYUESHANGSHENG2.3GEBAIFENDIAN,LIANXU3GEYUEBAOCHIZAI50%YISHANG,BIAOMINGFEIZHOUZHIZAOYEYANXUJIAOKUAIHUIFUQUSHI,QIEHUIFUQUSHIJIAOSHANGYUEYOUSUOJIAKUAI。GEZHUYAOGUOJIAZHONG,DEYIYUYIQINGDEYOUXIAOKONGZHIHEQIANGJINGDETOUZILIDU,NANFEIZHIZAOYEJIXUJIAKUAIFUSU,ZHIZAOYEPMILIANXU3GEYUEHUANBISHANGSHENG,SHENGZHI60%YISHANGDEJIAOGAOSHUIPING;AIJIZHIZAOYEYECHENGXIANWENHEFUSUQUSHI,ZHIZAOYEPMISHENGZHI51%YISHANG,NIRILIYAZHIZAOYEFUSUQUSHIXIANGDUIJIAORUO,PMIRENGZAI50%YIXIA,DANJIAOSHANGYUEYOUSUOHUISHENG

英超竞猜网站JIEHESHUJUBIANHUA,ZAIXINGUANFEIYANYIQINGMEIYOUCHUXIANMINGXIANFANDANDEQINGKUANGXIA,FEIZHOUJINGJIZHENGZAIWENDINGFUSU,WEILEYINGDUIYIQINGCHONGJI,FEIZHOUGEGUOTONGGUOJIADAJICHUSHESHIYINGCHAOJINGCAIWANGZHANTOUZILIDULAIDAIDONGJINGJIFUSUHEJIUYEDEZENGZHANG,BINGJIXUZHILIYUGAISHANFEIZHOUSHANGYEHETOUZIHUANJING,JIADATONGSHIJIEGEGUODEJINGJIHEZUO,YIJIXUSHIFANGFEIZHOUJINGJIZENGZHANGQIANLI。

美洲制造业加快恢复,不确定性仍存

2020NIAN10YUEFEN,MEIZHOUZHIZAOYEPMIJIAOSHANGYUESHANGSHENG3.3GEBAIFENDIANZHI58.7%,LIANXU4GEYUEBAOCHIZAI53%YISHANG。ZHUYAOGUOJIAZHONG,MEIGUO、BAXIZHIZAOYEPMIJIAOSHANGYUEYOUSUOSHANGSHENG,JIANADAZHIZAOYEPMIJIAOSHANGYUEYOUSUOHUIDIAO,DANRENGBAOCHIZAIJIAOGAOSHUIPING。

JIEHESHUJUBIANHUA,MEIZHOUZHIZAOYEJIXUBAOCHIHUIFUQUSHI,QIEHUIFUSUDUJIAOSHANGYUEYOUSUOJIAKUAI。DANGQIANMEIZHOUZHIZAOYEDEJIAKUAIHUIFUSHIJIANLIZAIZHUYAOGUOJIAJIECHUFENGSUOCUOSHIDEJICHUZHISHANG。BANSUIZHEJINGJIHUIFUDETONGSHI,MEIZHOUYIQINGBINGWEIDEDAOYOUXIAOKONGZHI,MEIGUOHEBAXIDEXINGUANFEIYANYIQINGMEIRIXINZENGBINGLISHUJUNJUGAOBUXIA,ZHEIYEWEIMEIZHOUJINGJIHUIFUDAILAILEJIAODADEBUQUEDINGXING。TEBIESHIMEIGUOJINGJIQIANJINGDEBUQUEDINGXINGJIANGWEIMEIZHOUNAIZHIQUANQIUJINGJIFUSUDAILAIYINGXIANG。JINQICHIXUEHUADEYIQINGRANGMEIGUOGEZHOUJUNMIANLINZAIDUCAIQUFENGSUOCUOSHIDEWEIXIE。XINYILUNCAIZHENGCIJIZHENGCECHICHIBUNENGCHUTAI,YEZENGJIALESHICHANGDEJIAOLVQINGXU。MEIGUODAXUANJIEGUOQUEDINGHOU,MEIGUOLIANGDANGXUYAOJINKUAIJIUXINDEJINGJICIJIZHENGCEDACHENGYIZHI,YIYINGDUIYIQINGDUIJINGJIDEZAIDUCHONGJI。SHIJIEDAXINGQIYEYANJIUHUI27RIGONGBUDESHUJUXIANSHI,10YUEFENMEIGUOXIAOFEIZHEXINXINZHISHUWEI100.9,DIYUSHICHANGYUQIDE102HE9YUEFENXIUDINGHOUDE101.3。MEILIANCHUZHUXIBAOWEIERDUOCIQIANGDIAO,MEIGUOJINGJIQIANJINGHENDACHENGDUSHANGRENGQUJUEYUYIQINGZOUSHIYIJIMEIGUOZHENGFUCAIQUDEZHENGCEXINGDONG。

【ZERENBIANJI: JIAZHENG】

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